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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.New york Fed said Neil would return to work in the private sector.Market news: OpenAI announced on Thursday that it is launching a new function that allows users to share the real-time video of mobile phone screen and mobile phone in the advanced voice mode of ChatGPT mobile application. This way, users don't have to upload photos or describe the surrounding environment in chat.

Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market, is stepping down. According to a statement issued on Thursday, Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market group and a member of its executive committee, will leave the bank in March 2025 to become a senior manager in the private sector. In the meantime, Neil has been transferred as a consultant to help promote a smooth transition. Anna Nordstrom, head of domestic and international marketing functions of the market group, will be the interim head of the market group until a successor is appointed. The new york Federal Reserve will start looking for a new head of the market group in the next few weeks.Venezuelan authorities said that 103 people arrested after the July elections were released this week.Boeing: The expansion plant in Charleston County is expected to be put into operation in early 2027.

Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government: Aleppo Airport is ready, and the civil airport is trying to recover. On the evening of the 12th local time, the Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government said that he was working hard to prepare for the recovery of the Syrian civil airport for planes to take off and land. At the same time, the department is also coordinating the operational procedures for transit with neighboring countries. The minister said that in the next few hours, Syrian airspace will be opened to air traffic. At present, Aleppo International Airport in Syria is ready, and Syria will announce the operation dates of Damascus International Airport and Aleppo International Airport in the next few days.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)Chicago corn futures fell by 1%, while wheat, soybean meal and soybean oil fell by 0.8% at most. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), the Bloomberg Grain Sub-index fell by 0.63% to 31.7965 points. CBOT corn futures fell 1.00% to 4.43-3/4 USD/bushel. CBOT wheat futures fell 0.80% to $ 5.58-3/4 a bushel. CBOT soybean futures were roughly flat at $ 10.02-1/2 per bushel, while soybean meal futures fell by 0.70% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.50%.